Somewhat quietly, though not without some water-cooler discussion, the Republican Party Leadership is warning membership to stay away from the upcoming Cleveland Ohio convention.
The media is describing the issue as centering around those elected politicians who may want to avoid the potential for divisive controversy.  However, if you look at the actual landscape, and then look at the political ideology of those who are openly saying they are staying away, what you’ll notice is the RINO caucus, the ‘Decepticons’, are the most cautious.

If you spend some time digging through the professional GOPe messaging, what you’ll note is the party leadership seems fully aware something very dangerous might just come to fruition.  Not dangerous in a violent way per se’, but rather dangerous in a very political and contentious way; there’s very good reason for this. (more…)

California is a CLOSED PRIMARY.  Everyone who wants to vote in the California GOP primary needs to register as a Republican to help Make America Great Again.  Registration deadline is May 23rd, 2016
The latest polling from California conducted by Survey USA (full pdf below) shows Donald Trump with 40%, Ted Cruz 32% and John Kasich 17%.

There are 172 Delegates available in the California primary on June 7th.  The time to be proactive is now.   Application or registration forms can be picked up at the U.S. Post Office, DMV, election county office, or library. You can also apply or register Online.
(more…)

Remember This Arizona and Utah

It was January 27th when Donald Trump gave a stark warning to Brussels Belgium, and the New York Times mocked him for it:

(January 27th New York Times) […] Asked by the Fox Business Network anchor Maria Bartiromo about the feasibility of his proposal to bar foreign Muslims from entering the United States, Mr. Trump argued that Belgium and France had been blighted by the failure of Muslims in these countries to integrate.

“There is something going on, Maria,” he said. “Go to Brussels. Go to Paris. Go to different places. There is something going on and it’s not good, where they want Shariah law, where they want this, where they want things that — you know, there has to be some assimilation. There is no assimilation. There is something bad going on.”

Warming to his theme, he added that Brussels was in a particularly dire state. “You go to Brussels — I was in Brussels a long time ago, 20 years ago, so beautiful, everything is so beautiful — it’s like living in a hellhole right now,” Mr. Trump continued. (more…)

We have been following the election closely.  One of the key aspects noted by everyone is the intensity of turnout on one specific side, the Republican side.  Some pundits and analysts call this “the Trump Effect” – because Donald Trump has brought more people into the election process than ever before.

We have also been predicting a tsunami election not only in ‘primary’ support of candidate Donald Trump, but also with overwhelming participation in the general election which would seemingly crush any Democrat opponent.

However, in an effort to find independent analysis for our own research we reached out with an offer for anyone to compile their own modeling.   A data analyst by trade, Nick H took up our offer and here’s his findings: (more…)

Before getting to the data (Full pdf’s below) here’s the CBS presentation of their Battleground State Polling:

Here are the polling stats from the individual states: (more…)

Today is one of those days when political junkies realize why CTH is such a desperate threat to the professional political class because tripwires are being triggered in all directions exactly as predicted.  HERE – HERE – HERE

We will get to the NBC nonsense in another discussion thread.

Today, South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley is endorsing GOPe Marco Rubio, oh, now there’s a shock fail… and the narratives the apoplectic political class are using to accompany the endorsement are so transparent all we can do is laugh at their effort.

Earlier […]  ♦  Now to the endorsements.  Again, go back to the original road-map and cut through the media fog surrounding South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley.

Haley has done the bidding of the GOPe DC Machine (Ryan, McConnell, etc.) with the SOU response to knock down Donald Trump.   Republican party leadership approved the script.  Governor Haley also spoke highly of Marco Rubio in the 36 hours that followed the controversy.

Absent of GOPe intervention, a Rubio endorsement from her was/is all but certain. (link)

(more…)

The latest CNN/WMUR Poll (full pdf below) of New Hampshire shows Donald Trump holding a consistent lead and Marco Rubio clearing the GOPe lanes as predicted.  Ted Cruz comes in third at 13%, but close with John Kasich (12%) and Jeb Bush (10%).

Chris Christie dropping to 4% is a surprise.  This current poll has Christie doing much worse than all previous polling in the Granite state.  However, Christie’s sixth place tie with Carly Fiorina does put Carly back on the ABC debate stage so there could be a “Time-Warner/Disney” motive/smoothing factor at work.

It will be interesting to see if the scourge of Heroin addition is really as central to the New Hampshire voter as the media have previously proclaimed.

If so, a generally intelligent assertion would think that closing the Mexican border, the source of the drug influx, would be a key component to the voting decision.   However, Senator Rubio, who is the biggest advocate for open borders, is showing strong – which is counter intuitive to the drug concern claim.

(more…)

WASHINGTON (AP) — The Obama administration confirmed for the first time Friday that Hillary Clinton’s unsecured home server contained some of the U.S. government’s most closely guarded secrets, censoring 22 emails with material demanding one of the highest levels of classification. The revelation comes just three days before the Iowa presidential nominating caucuses in which Clinton is a candidate.

The State Department will release its next batch of emails from Clinton’s time as secretary of state later Friday.

(more…)

The full speech (both video and transcript) by President Obama yesterday at the National Counter Terrorism Center, McLean Virginia.  Presented below for two reasons.

• #1 To share the substantive information provided by the President of our United States.
• #2 Because, in my humble opinion, having spent considerable time following nuance and inter-governmental messaging, this speech -and included insurances- as outlined within the President’s delivery, are 180° divergent from the FBI federal complaint released yesterday in the San Bernardino terrorist investigation.

Here is President Obama’s NCTC speech:

And here’s the transcript: (more…)

The latest sunlight onto an increasingly obvious RNC/GOPe scheme comes from the most unlikely source, POLITICO, who highlight their article Wall Street’s Latest Panic.
In very direct ways their article cuts to the very heart of the matter – Wall Street cannot fathom a Donald Trump candidacy – They Planned For JEB! 

However, this reality is still met by people who refuse to accept the overall system we call modern 2016 Presidential Politics is entirely the construct of financial stakeholders who have financed, and in 2014 constructed, a political road map for Clinton/Bush 2016.
We still find people who don’t understand the basic element behind this truth:

Jeb Bush is Wall Street, Donald Trump is Main Street !

NEW YORK — Wall Street is growing increasingly terrified that Donald Trump — once viewed as an amusing summertime distraction — could actually win the Republican nomination for president. (more…)