Rut Roh – Feds Declare Some Clinton Emails Too Secret to Release…

drudge screenshot - hillary

Biden and Hillary

WASHINGTON (AP) — The Obama administration confirmed for the first time Friday that Hillary Clinton’s unsecured home server contained some of the U.S. government’s most closely guarded secrets, censoring 22 emails with material demanding one of the highest levels of classification. The revelation comes just three days before the Iowa presidential nominating caucuses in which Clinton is a candidate.

The State Department will release its next batch of emails from Clinton’s time as secretary of state later Friday.

(more…)

New Hampshire Poll – Donald Trump Holds Big Lead, as Jeb Bush Hits the Nitrous…

Dominating in every poll since the beginning of the race Candidate Donald Trump enters the final laps with a massive lead well ahead of the chasing pack.   A New Hampshire poll today (full pdf below) again reflects Donald Trump way out ahead of the field at 35%.

However, team GOPe have now begun the full media blitzkrieg of the granite state and Jeb has moved into second place with 18% and John Kasich third with 14%.

Full Poll Data
Full Poll Data

Again, we continually repeat, do not underestimate the GOPe apparatus.  They have a structural advantage, they ARE the RNC; and they possess an entire army of party ideologues who are professionally republican.

(more…)

Donald Trump’s Fox Debate Boycott and The Ridiculous Fox News Response…

Many broadcast hours and column inches are sure to be used today and tomorrow regarding the decision by Donald Trump to skip the Fox News debate in Iowa.

Predicatively 90% of those reports will most likely circle around a Donald Trump -vs- Megyn Kelly narrative. Obviously that aspect will be the preferred hook used by Fox News to avoid sunlight; it is also profoundly wrong.

Candidate Jeb Bush attends Chamber of Commerce dinner with Fox's Rupert Murdoch and Valerie Jarrett (December 2014)
Candidate Jeb Bush attends Chamber of Commerce dinner with Fox’s Rupert Murdoch and Valerie Jarrett (December 2014)

Megyn Kelly, and her sidekick Chris Stirewalt are the visible symptom, not the actual underlying issue. Their partnered ‘too-cute-by-half schtick‘ has been ongoing for several months, including the coordinated antics at the last debate, and in the weeks leading up to the last debate; but again, they are the symptom – not the real issue. (more…)

Fox News Announces Their Candidate Debate Lineup – Still Eight On Primary Stage…

update-1UPDATE:  Due to the severity of bias within the Fox agenda, candidate Donald Trump has stated his attendance is still undetermined:

This was the earlier snarky statement by Fox which led to Donald Trump reconsidering:

FOX NEWS:  “We learned from a secret back channel that the Ayatollah and Putin both intend to treat Donald Trump unfairly when they meet with him if he becomes president,” Fox News said in the statement, adding this gem: “A nefarious source tells us that Trump has his own secret plan to replace the Cabinet with his Twitter followers to see if he should even go to those meetings.”

Fox News has announced the candidate debate lineup and again there are two tiers.  Eight candidates in the 9:00pm “Top Tier” debate, and four candidates in the 7:00pm “Lower Tier” (kiddie table) debate:

(more…)

Latest Iowa Poll – Donald Trump Commanding Lead 34%, Ted Cruz 23%, Marco Rubio 12%…

Candidate Donald Trump takes a commanding lead (34%) in the latest Fox News Iowa poll (full pdf below).  Ted Cruz comes in second at 23% and Marco Rubio 12%.  No other candidate comes close.

( FULL POLL DATA )
( FULL POLL DATA )

However, additionally worth noting is the under representation of several electorate flags (ex. cell phone users) which would add confidence the impression that even with these results, the size of Donald Trump’s support is understated.

This baseline polling probability is enhanced when you review the Margin-of-Error for the sub-groups.  Obviously, all of this is exceptional news for Donald Trump with a week left before Iowa caucuses… (more…)

Zogby National GOP Poll: Donald Trump 45%, Ted Cruz 13%, Marco Rubio 8%…

The latest Zogby poll of national GOP voters shows Donald J Trump with a commanding lead of 45% a full 32 points higher than second place Ted Cruz.  Additionally an Arizona poll shows Donald Trump at 38% 22 points ahead – LINK

Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton greets a supporter following her address at the 18th Annual David N. Dinkins Leadership and Public Policy Forum at Columbia University in New York

(Via Zogby Analytics) […]  Mr. Trump polls over 40% among men (49%) and women (41%), as well as Republicans (47%) and independents (49%), conservatives (46%) and moderates (45%). Mr. Cruz scores double digits among men (10%), women (16%), Republicans (15%), independents (10%), and conservative (15%).

We tested a series of three-way races and found Mr. Trump trouncing all of his rivals — 53% to 20% for Mr. Cruz, and 11% for Mr. Rubio; 57% to 23% for Mr. Cruz, and 8% for Mr. Christie; 57% to 23% for Mr. Cruz and 7% for Mr. Kasich; 55% to 25% for Mr. Cruz, and 10% for Mr. Bush.

(more…)

CNN New Hampshire Poll – Donald Trump Extends Lead 34%, Cruz 14%, Rubio 10%…

CNN/WMUR have conducted another poll of New Hampshire voters (full pdf below).  Candidate Donald Trump extends his lead and is now positioned (34%) solidly 20 points higher than second place Ted Cruz.  Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio are tied for third place with 10% each.

Notice how Kasich is no-where close to the continual ARG polls (20%)?

CNN WMUR Poll New Hampshire 01-20-16

Candidate Donald Trump is also winning significantly on the key issues. (more…)

North Carolina Poll – Donald Trump Leads With 38% and Highest Favorability….

Several people had been mentioning “the lack of polling”…  It appears today/tomorrow will more than make up for it…  (((snicker)))

Via PPP Polling (with full pdf below) – North Carolina was the first place polling ever found Donald Trump leading the Republican Presidential race, and he just keeps getting stronger. PPP’s newest poll finds him at 38% to 16% for Ted Cruz, 11% for Marco Rubio, 8% for Ben Carson, 6% each for Mike Huckabee and Jeb Bush, 4% for Chris Christie, 3% each for Carly Fiorina and Rand Paul, 2% for John Kasich, and 1% for Rick Santorum.

( POLL DATA )
( POLL DATA )

Trump’s support is up 5 points from a month ago when he was at 33%. The only other candidate who’s seen a real gain in their support is Huckabee, who’s climbed from 2% to 6%. The main hopeful dropping is Ben Carson, who’s fallen from 14% to 8%. Besides Carson the only person to see their support decline by more than a point is Marco Rubio, who’s dropped 3 points from 14% to 11%. (more…)

New Florida Poll – Donald Trump Increases Lead to 48% and Strongly Beating Hillary Clinton in Key State…

A new Florida FAU poll (full pdf below) shows candidate Donald Trump extending his lead and nearing the 50% threshold.   At 48% Trump has increased his lead by 11 points since the same poll was conducted a month ago.

Ted Cruz comes in a distant second at 16%, with home-state Senator Marco Rubio at 11% and former Florida Governor Jeb Bush 10% – the rest of the field is irrelevant in Florida.

( POLL DATA )
( POLL DATA )

The polling also includes the general Florida electorate enabling head-to-head match ups between the Republican candidates and Democrat candidates.  (more…)