A recent Florida poll conducted after the South Carolina GOP debate is almost identical to the last South Carolina poll (Trump leads with 32%).

In Florida Donald Trump holds a commanding lead with 31%, Cruz second with 19%, Bush 13% and Rubio 12%.   Rubio/Bush combined total 25%, still behind Trump.

The jump into Third Place for Jeb Bush is an important part to watch.  As we have previously shared, we should expect to see Bush begin inching out his own GOPe teammates.

Also, as previously explained, Bush/Rubio support should be considered a combined UniCandidate total.   One will endorse the other, depending on timing – our prediction remains that Rubio will defer to his mentor Bush, eventually (either during the mid to late stages of the race, or at the convention).

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We shared last week due to the increasingly urgent calendar numerous political Tripwires would be triggered rapidly.   An example comes today as North Carolina releases advanced notification of their 2016 Presidential Primary ballot.

However, before getting to the ballot, it must be emphasized that the GOPe will NEVER give up on Jeb Bush. Jeb is “their guy”, period.

♦ An example of how severely they are willing to protect him was evident on January 8th when Fox News released their polls which saved Jeb from the embarrassment of being kicked off the main debate stage.

Without that individual poll Jeb did not, and would not, qualify. ♦ Another example was evident during the debate, when South Carolina party officials stacked the audience with party loyalists. ♦ Another example came the following day (yesterday) when South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham endorsed Jeb.

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Unlike the chatter amid most of the professional punditry we don’t view the Ted Cruz -v- Donald Trump debate confrontation as the most consequential part of the GOP debate in South Carolina.   The exchange between Donald Trump and Jeb Bush regarding China and trade economics was actually the most revealing.

Donald Trump pointed out because of the size of our market we have tremendous leverage on China; leverage we have failed to use for the past three decades.

For the sake of brevity, I’m going to accept that most readers here are familiar with who is funding and directing Jeb Bush, and in larger, more consequential measures, the DC apparatchik in charge of U.S. Policy, ie. Wall street.

In retort to Trump pointing out a necessary shift in trade position (a shift to put American interests first – a shift to stop the dependency on cheap import goods – a shift to use China’s dependency on access to our market to OUR advantage) Jeb Bush came back with an example of Boeing manufacturing. (more…)

Fox Business News will be hosting the GOP Presidential Debate tonight. Hosts Neil Cavuto and Maria Bartiromo will be moderating the Prime Time debate at 9:00 p.m. ET, from the North Charleston Coliseum and Performing Arts Center in North Charleston, South Carolina.

In addition to the TV broadcast, Fox Business will be live-streaming the debate HERE and also you can find a radio broadcast of the debate HERE – there is also a live-stream ap available HERE (i-phone and android users).

STREAMING COVERAGE HERE

If you are watching – share your thoughts and comments below

There is a myriad of entities, self-interests and parasitic entities who corrupt the entire U.S. body politic.  However, at the epicenter of all of them is one man, Tom Donohue, the head of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.  The Coc is the legislative influencing firm behind all of the crony capitalistic and Wall Street schemes.

In a recent article, Donohue steps out from behind the mahogany door and decries the frontrunner of the presidential race.

(Via Wall Street Journal) The head of the nation’s biggest business lobby inveighed against presidential candidates singling out immigrants, ethnic or religious groups, highlighting divisions among supporters of the Republican establishment and the party’s leading candidate Donald Trump.

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Note  – over the next several weeks, expect to see a Jeb Bush come-back to overtake Marco Rubio. Senator Rubio was never intended to be the torch-bearer for the GOPe nomination, he does not have political permission from the penthouse power brokers.

A new NYT/CBS Poll (full pdf below) shows candidate Donald Trump with a comfortable national lead over second place Ted Cruz. Third place Marco Rubio, while being supported by the new-money GOPe crowd (Hedge-Funders), does not have the fully vested approval of the Wall Street Oligarchs – watch his position carefully.

There are several indications that Ted Cruz has peaked, and there are certainly indications that Marco Rubio’s peak occurred about 3 weeks ago, between Christmas and New Year.  In the next three weeks we can expect to see some rather dramatic shifts; they will be most notable in the February States (Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina).

We are now entering the Thunderdome phase, and you can expect to see simultaneous trip-wire flares triggered at any moment.  All of the candidate Super-PAC banked money will now be deployed with exponential fury.  So too will the trickery and shenanigans. (more…)

The next GOP debate is Thursday January 14th on Fox Business Network.  Fox Business has just announced the line-up for both the prime time, and second tier debate.  The debates are being moderated by Neil Cavuto and Maria Bartiromo (prime time);  Also, Trish Regan and Sandra Smith (kiddie debate)  – LINK

There will be SEVEN candidates remaining on the prime time stage at 9:00pm:  Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Jeb Bush and John Kasich.

There will be FOUR candidates dropped to the second tier (kiddie table) at 6:00pm: Rand Paul, Carly Fiorina, Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum. (more…)

A very interesting New Hampshire poll conducted by Reach Communications (full pdf and graph analysis below) for NH1 News, shows Donald Trump with a commanding lead overall 31.7%, and a MASSIVE lead among women voters, 40%.

The Poll is a strong sample size of 1,000 Republicans and Independents, and shows second place belongs to Jeb Bush (11.9%), who is slightly ahead of third place Kasich (11.8%) and followed by Chris Christie (11%):

Looking at the internals below you can see how Donald Trump leads with all sub-categories of voter: Republican and Independents, Men and Women.  However, Trump really extends his overall lead margins with women.

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Since 2013 we have specifically documented the legislative agenda of Tom Donohue, Wall Street, and their lobbying arm the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.  The CoC legislative agenda includes:

• Passage of the Trans-Pacific Trade Deal
• Retention of ObamaCare – Without repeal or modification
• Implementation of Federal Common Core Education Standards
• Comprehensive Immigration Reform to include Amnesty

All of the presidential candidates actively support this chamber agenda (some more openly than others), which is also supported by Club4Growth, Koch Brothers, Robert Mercer, and Wall Street.

ALL of the GOP Presidential candidates have taken tens of millions in lobbyist money to assist their campaigns.

All, except Donald J Trump.

Julia Hahn […]  Conservative populist thought-leader Jeff Sessions has explained that supporting amnesty and citizenship for illegal immigrants should be inherently disqualifying for any GOP nominee. Sessions said previously, “Supporting citizenship for illegal immigrants should be disqualifying. (more…)

When there is a lack of publicly presented MSM polling, generally it’s because the results within their polling is not fitting with the preferred narrative. Such is the case with the absence of polls from December 10th to January 8th.

With that in mind, and accepting that time was of the essence for GOP debate formatting for next week, it was certain that some form of MSM polling, from the major networks, was soon to surface. However, the batch of polls released today might fit for the purpose of MSM debate stage formatting, but beyond that – these are totally useless “agenda polls”.

The full polling results, and their accompanying pdf’s are below. After the data presentation we’ll show how and why the Fox polling can be completely disregarded. The agenda polling has an unintended consequence of being specifically adversarial for Marco Rubio supporters, and is transparently flawed.

Here’s the National Result:

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