The Wall Street Journal break a story of a Wall Street Billionaire/Financier, Hank Greenberg, giving Jeb Bush (via Super-PAC) a $10 million donation.  Greenberg, not wanting to have his name associated in the historical world of all things loser, immediately says – no, no I did not; it was the firm who gave the idiot the money, not me….

We told you this would happen.

(Fox Business News – Video) Billionaire businessman Maurice “Hank” Greenberg backed away from an alleged $10 million contribution he was said to have made to a PAC affiliated with the presidential campaign of former Florida Governor Jeb Bush.

In an exclusive interview with FOX Business, Greenberg, the former CEO of insurance giant American International Group, sought to clarify reports that he personally made a contribution to Bush’s PAC, Right to Rise USA. (more…)

A poll from Florida Overtime Politics (pdf below) shows a snapshot of Florida in January.  Donald Trump leads with 32%, Cruz 21% and Rubio 18%:

FLORIDA – Donald Trump sports a comfortable 11 point lead in the Sunshine State, besting Ted Cruz 32-21%. Marco Rubio, who is from Florida, picks up 18% of the vote.

While most states, especially the ones that vote before March 15th, are competitive for Cruz and Rubio in the sense that they can at least win some delegates, Florida issues all of theirs to the person with the most votes. Finishing 2nd or beyond gets you 0 delegates, while 1st place gets 99. Right now, in order for either of them to win anything in Florida, they would have to un-seat Trump from the driver’s chair. (more…)

The latest PPP poll (full pdf below) from New Hampshire reflects a considerable shakeup behind Trump.  Candidate Donald Trump remains at the top holding a significant lead more than double the next competitor, Rubio.

The various wings inside the Deathstar GOPe are now left with factional fighting among themselves – Trump has split the splitters. Rubio attacks Bush who attacks Christie who attacks Kasich who attacks Rubio who attacks Kasich who attacks Christie who attacks Bush etc…

However, with that: Marco Rubio, Chris Christie, John Kasich and Jeb Bush have now surpassed a falling Ted Cruz (dropped 3 points from prior PPP poll), and Ben Carson is down in the Fiorina bracket of irrelevance:

(Via PPP Polling) […]  The candidates with the biggest gains since our last poll in early December are Bush (up 5 points from 5% to 10%), Rubio (up 4 points from 11% to 15), and Kasich (up 3 points from 8% to 11%). Bush and Kasich have also had notable gains in their favorability ratings.

(more…)

A new NBC Poll (full pdf below) shows candidate Donald Trump with a commanding lead over the rest of the field at 35%.  In addition 49% of those polled believe Trump will be the republican nominee.

Via NBC – With the presidential primaries in full swing, Donald Trump maintains his sizable lead over the rest of the Republican field. Among Republican or Republican-leaning registered voters, Trump has 35% support compared to 18% for Ted Cruz and 13% for Marco Rubio, according to results from the latest NBC News/SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll for the week of December 28, 2015 through January 3, 2016.

(more…)

Many newly engaged voters might not be aware of the Purple Orcs, the SEIU goons or the modern campaign tactics of Liberal Democrats.  Most often the campaign shenanigans are personified by rabid left-wing moonbats, however sometimes they are reverse antagonism tactics, ie. highly Rovian….

♦  A nutter appears in the middle of a Donald Trump rally proclaiming to be a supporter while simultaneously making odd statements during a Q&A about the President being Muslim?  The entire MSM apparatus is on-scene with hundreds of reporters, yet they have no idea who the guy is, nor are they interesting in following it up?

Uh, huh.

♦  A Fem-nutter appears at a Donald Trump rally and begins spouting Democrat talking points as questions to candidate Trump about women’s rights and women’s equality issues.   Again, with script in hand and ready to rock-n-roll, the media (CNN) apparently disinterested in talking to, or identifying the ideology of the provocateur. (more…)

The latest Missouri poll (full pdf below) is almost identical to the recent Nevada Poll. Actually, almost every state poll taken in the month of December is virtually the same, and in close alignment with national polls.

Donald Trump has held the top position in the polls for so long that many forget what the race looked like when it originally began.   Missouri provides us a great opportunity to glance back to the last polling taken in the state (PPP August).  Jeb was actually in second place. (more…)

We are in an era when many people are following politics a little more closely than usual, that’s a good thing.  However, for many a paradigm shift is needed:

Modern GOPe presidential politics are not dependent on winning your vote, we are in an era when presidential politics is focused on “winning the office” – there is a big difference.  The former is irrelevant when the latter is achieved.

Current political science classes are focused on teaching political theorem through the prism of history, but historical references are less accurate than ever before.  The new age of the Atwater/Rove approach is based on using the foundation of ‘Citizens United’ to protect the professional political class.

When you understand the goal of the professional candidate is to achieve the office, and not to necessarily win your vote, we can find increased clarity on campaign behavior.

A vote for a given candidate is valuable.   However, when you are inside the professional political class, a non-vote is just as valuable.  (more…)

Candidate Donald Trump holds a commanding lead in almost every poll.  While the media broadcast public polls, the internal polling actually drives the campaign activity.  With that in mind the public polls provide ‘retrospective’ to either support, or undercut, the activity of the campaign itself.

The latest report from YouGov is one of many which highlights why Team Trump is slowly shifting focus toward a more general election race.  Another good summary of indicators is Available HERE:

You might have also noted candidate Donald Trump referencing today’s Reuters polling trend in earlier interviews.  Apparently that’s because the trend shows the number two and number three candidates have peaked, and now are moving back into low double digits.

(more…)

In an opportunity for a compare and contrast, both Donald Trump and Jeb Bush have events scheduled today.  Trump in Council Bluffs Iowa, Jeb Bush in Peterborough New Hampshire.

Jeb Bush holding a “Town Hall”, while Donald Trump holds a campaign “rally”.   Both candidates holding events at almost the same time.

However, Jeb Bush cancels his Town Hall due to “inclement weather”.  Donald Trump keeps campaigning.  HatTip to KBR for this picture of what greets Bush supporters tonight: (more…)

(more…)