Remember Mississippi ?

The professional apparatus of the Republican Party are signaling their intent to do exactly what we predicted they would do.   Trump will win the primary, and the GOPe will split the party to run an additional candidate in the general election.

It’s not Trump going third party – It’s the establishment GOP (GOPe) intending to go third party.   They are planning a modified version of the Mississippi Strategy from 2014.

In order to pull off the “Mississippi Plan” nationally, and specifically because of the ideological severity which will be obvious within their approach, the GOPe need to begin planting the seeds of intent now within the various camps they’ll need to support them.  We’ll explain.

Most people are unaware that back in 2014 conservative Senate Candidate Chris McDaniel defeated incumbent Republican Senator Thad Cochran in the Mississippi primary.  However, it was a three-way race and McDaniel didn’t get past the 50% +1 threshold.

McDaniel did defeat Cochran in the first Republican primary, meaning he got more votes, but a second run-off primary was required because the 50% threshold was not achieved.

Between those two primary races is when the professional apparatus within the GOP/RNC hatched a plan, and kicked the plan to action.    (more…)

He just keeps growing – and Growing – and GROWING.  A single candidate waging war against the entire political and media apparatus.  His simple objective: Put America First.

Donald Trump is absolutely crushing the field in the latest poll from South Carolina (full pdf below).  With an additional Fox caveat – Trump’s poll numbers are actually even larger, around 38%+, since his statement asking for a temporary pause on Muslim Immigration:

The entire media and political apparatus both Democrats and Republicans are in full meltdown mode over the scope of support Donald Trump carries.  Yet nothing they try has any effect on diminishing his support.

Donald Trump carries two golden arrows in his masterfully constructed quiver:

♦ The first is TRUTH – he always shines light upon uncomfortable truth – simple truth known by the electorate and yet hidden by those who benefit from power.

♦ The second is his agenda – Trump’s only agenda is what’s in America’s best interest. Period. Nothing further.

Unafraid of the Truth; unafraid to own the downside to all of his positions; and only thinking about what’s in America’s best interest – no other candidate can compete. (more…)

Mark Steyn was on Greta Van Sustern last night and delivered one of the more resoundingly common sense recaps of the entire days’ media and political insanity:

Mark Steyn website here – The last segment where Steyn points out the nonsense from the Obama administration is 100% spot on.  Unfortunately, almost every GOP candidate pounced into the furor surrounding Trump’s profoundly reasonable proposition.

The issue boils down to: (more…)

Wow – Now we know why the GOPe is in full blown panic mode.  The results from the latest WMUR/CNN Poll in New Hampshire (full pdf below) shows support for Ben Carson has fully collapsed, and Ted Cruz drops below John Kasich…. But it gets much, much worse for the establishment candidates.

The GOPe road map has totally collapsed in New Hampshire.  All of the GOPe splitters are now left picking leftover scraps from those voters who are in the undecideds:

Trump has forced upon the GOPe the absolute nightmare scenario – “the splitters are splitting upon themselves”.   Rubio, Bush and Christie combined cannot beat Donald Trump’s current level of support.

The millions spent by Team Kasich have garnered him a grand total of 7%; and the tens of millions spent by Jeb Bush only get him to 8%.  The granite state electorate are fully engaged and they are seeing through the GOPe establishment schemes.

The New Hampshire voters are also seeing through the convenient flip-flops of Cruz and have identified the reality of Carson’s inability. (more…)

Last week a leaked GOPe seven page strategy memo surfaced outlining the Republican anxiety with the support of Donald Trump.  One section of the memo stated:

…”[…]  Trump Can Hit the Right Chord – We may not like it, but Trump has connected with voters on issues like trade with China and America’s broken borders”…. (memo pdf)

Yes, the officials within the Republican party “don’t like” the fact candidate Donald “Trump has connected with voters”.  For the GOPe the goal is always to connect with the professional political class (Wall Street, K-Street, Lobbyists, Donors) not those pesky unwashed masses called, “voters” – yuck.

You might remember several weeks ago Mitt Romney said “they would take out” Donald Trump by December 15th.   Romney never defined “they”, but you can look at the quote above and get a pretty good idea who “they” are.  Kasich kicked off the GOPe attacks, and immediately saw his own poll numbers in New Hampshire collapse.

And so today the second charge begins….  Many people mocked our prior presentation when we stated months ago (numerous times) that Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio supporters will vote for Hillary Clinton if they do not win the nomination.   Here’s further evidence in that regard:

(Miami Herald) One of Florida’s biggest conservative Republican moneymen — and a billionaire backer of Jeb Bush — is so disgusted by Donald Trump’s candidacy that if he has to, he’ll do the unthinkable:

“If I have a choice — and you can put it in bold — if I have a choice between Trump and Hillary Clinton, I’m choosing Hillary,” Miami healthcare magnate Mike Fernandez told the Miami Herald on Friday. “She’s the lesser of two evils.” (more…)

…The Republican nominee for president will be that candidate who best learns that there is no future in apologizing…

~ Jack Cashill (June 10, 2015)

A new PPP Poll (full pdf here) from New Hampshire shows the influence of structural GOPe machinations -via corporate media- onto an electorate.  Carson – dropping, Rubio – static, Cruz – lifted, Kasich – collapsing, and Christie – surging:

(Via PPP Analysis ) – PPP’s new New Hampshire poll finds Donald Trump’s position in the state pretty much unchanged compared to six weeks ago. He leads with 27% to 13% for Ted Cruz, 11% for Marco Rubio, 10% for Chris Christie, 9% for Ben Carson, 8% for John Kasich, 6% for Carly Fiorina, 5% for Jeb Bush, and 4% for Rand Paul. Rounding out the field in the 1% or less club are Mike Huckabee, George Pataki, and Rick Santorum each at 1%, and Lindsey Graham and Jim Gilmore with less than 1%. (more…)

The latest Ipsos/Reuters Poll (full pdf below) for December was released today.  This poll has been consistent over time but unfortunately the registered republican sample size is small.  Donald Trump continues to lead the entire field; but there’s an interesting hiccup noted in the “Republican Voter” alone filter – Jeb Bush has better numbers.

Via Ipsos/Reuters – […] Donald Trump continues to lead among Republicans at 36% nationwide among all self-identified Republicans.

• Ben Carson has re-established position in second with 17% of Republicans.
• Jeb Bush has also climbed slightly, now tied with Ted Cruz in third.

(more…)

Op-Hummingbird was only modestly successful in attaining the GOPe objective. However, a set of similar media/political metrics we follow outlines a modified approach. More on that later…

Today two independently gathered polls reveal an almost identical result.  WBUR and Fox News each conducted a poll in New Hampshire (both pdf’s below).  Both polls show Donald Trump extending his lead in the state, and both polls show support for Ben Carson collapsing, or at least retracting significantly.

(Via Fox) Donald Trump leads the race for the Republican nomination in New Hampshire, while Bernie Sanders edges Hillary Clinton among Democrats.

That’s according to the latest Fox News poll, released Wednesday, and conducted since Friday’s terrorist attacks in Paris. (more…)

Arguably the battleground state of Florida is where the primary will be won or lost in March of  2016.   The 100 winner-take-all delegates are the key prize toward primary victory on the GOP side of the presidential race.

The latest poll (full pdf below) from Florida shows Donald Trump growing his lead from September over home state competitors Marco Rubio and Jeb Bush.  Several of the internal metrics are interesting, including Trump being the only candidate to extend a lead over Clinton since Joe Biden is removed.  Head-to-Head Trump beats Clinton 49 to 40:

Other interesting notes: ♦ Rand Paul shows remarkable support from African American voters in Florida. ♦ Carly Fiorina has completely collapsed. ♦ Chris Christie’s earlier support is also gone.  ♦ Ben Carson remains third. (more…)