Regardless of who you support in the 2016 Presidential primary race, most will admit there’s one strategic advantage held by Donald Trump over all other candidates – Trump’s willingness to “own the downside“.

All policies and proposals have a “downside“, there’s no such thing as a policy proposal with benefit to all and harm to none.   This empirical truth is toxic to professional politicians – therefore they spend an inordinate amount of time using pretzel logic to avoid it.

As a direct consequence of avoidance, the media love to use the downside as a weapon.  For the first time in recent political memory Donald Trump represents a candidacy who is unafraid of their spear; and as a consequence, immune to the damage. (more…)

A recent poll from UMass (full pdf below) shows Donald Trump and Ben Carson clearly in the lead.  However, the real highlight is how low Jeb Bush polls.

AMHERST, Mass. – Donald Trump and Ben Carson have a dominating lead over the rest of the field of Republican presidential candidates, and should either of them drop out of the primary race the other stands to benefit the most, according to a new UMass Poll released today by the University of Massachusetts Amherst.

Overall, Trump leads the Republican field with 31 percent of likely Republican voters listing him as their first choice, based on a nationwide online survey of 318 likely Republican primary voters conducted by YouGov America under the direction of the UMass Poll from Nov. 5-13. Carson comes in second at 22 percent, followed by Senators Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio at 13 percent and 9 percent, respectively. No other candidate was able to garner 5 percent support. (more…)

Four months prior to announcing a presidential bid Donald Trump gave an interview to McLatchyDC News. Here’s a video segment from their interview.

The Print Article Is HERE

The currently considered TPP (Trans-Pacific Partnership) trade deal has the potential to be the fulcrum under every plank in the 2016 presidential election.    Many people view immigration as the #1 concern underlying further economic issues – however, few people recognize that immigration is actually part of the TPP construct.

Globalists, via Wall Street international financiers, are determined to get TPP passed into law.  Few of the GOP candidates stand in the way; Donald Trump is the primary roadblock to the current globalist goals.

“Either we have a country, or we do not – it really is that simple”  ~ Donald J. Trump

MILWAUKEE, Wisconsin — GOP frontrunner Donald Trump is releasing his policy plan to protect American workers and businesses from China’s destructive currency manipulation and financial policies.

The move hints he’s planning to come out guns-a-blazing on trade policies at the Fox Business Network debate here in Milwaukee on Tuesday evening. (more…)

Mark Levin isn’t talking about it.  Sean Hannity isn’t talking about it.  Rush Limbaugh and Laura Ingraham are not talking about it, yet it remains one of the biggest structural benefits to Team Jeb Bush in the 2016 primary presidential race:

Frustrated Conservatives Leaving The Republican Party

Independent political registration is the fastest growing base of electoral voters, and that plays nicely into the hands of the GOPe who are working diligently to avoid accountability for their progressive agenda.

Multiple states have what’s called “closed primary” races.  Meaning only those voters registered with a party, who has a candidate on the ballot, are allowed to vote in the Presidential Primary Election, or PPE.   Those state voters only get to vote for the candidate registered with the same party of their affiliation.

Even more states have “Modified primary” races.  Meaning voters registered independent are allowed to vote on either party ballot they select at the polling station (along with those who are registered within the party on primary ballot). (more…)

We have exhaustively outlined the GOPe road map to insure the nomination of Jeb Bush for the Republican Presidential Candidate in 2016.   While the road map is rather complex, it essentially boils down to a strategy of small accumulated delegate pickups using 15-20% electoral support.

Candidates George Pataki and Jim Gilmore have already been disqualified from the Alabama Primary, yet they remain in the race.  Only a handful of candidates (Bush, Trump, Cruz and to a lesser extent Rubio & Fiorina) have efforts underway to qualify for ballot placement in all of the states with primary dates prior to April 1st 2016.  (more…)

Wow.  Reset the Polls, This is YUGE !!

Candidate Ben Carson’s support for Obama Trade (TPP) is a massive divergence from most conservatives and now puts him in direct opposition to Donald Trump.

(Via Wall Street Journal) Republican presidential candidate Ben Carson said Friday that he supports the Trans-Pacific Partnership agreement negotiated by the White House – aligning himself more with the GOP’s establishment wing than with the social conservatives who have powered his campaign.

Mr. Carson’s backing of the 12-nation Pacific trade deal places him at odds with Donald Trump, his chief rival for support among anti-establishment Republicans. Mr. Carson had expressed skepticism about the TPP, saying in a June interview with the Huffington Post that he would not give President Barack Obama “fast-track” authority to negotiate the deal. (more…)

The latest CNN/ORC poll from Iowa (full pdf below) shows Donald Trump remaining in the lead despite various prior efforts within agenda-polling to highlight a divergent narrative.  Trump leads in all categories of voter concern: ♦ Economy ♦ Illegal Immigration ♦ Foreign Policy ♦ Medicare and Social Security.

Ben Carson leads on “social issues”: Abortion and Same-Sex Marriage. Ben Carson remains in second place which seems to belay the concern that Carson’s opposition to federal corn subsidies (outlined in prior debate) would diminish support.

Marco Rubio continues to retain benefit from “Operation Hummingbird”; however, the evident weakness in Rubio’s ability can be measured against the visibility of the Chris Christie insurance policy being called to action by MSM/GOPe operatives.   Ted Cruz is positioned to take most of Carson’s evangelical supporters if collapse occurs. (more…)

*NOTE* Do not for a moment think Fox is moving away from their mandated/scripted narrative to eliminate the Main Street Vulgarian, they’re not.  Remember, the next debate (Nov 10th) is on FNB and Team Trump have already announced intents for the campaign to negotiate debate conditions.  The FNB debate line-up is expected to be announced tomorrow, and Fox Needs Trump.

Within this latest national Fox News Poll (full pdf below) three interesting aspects.  ♦  Donald Trump is leading despite the methodology and breakdown.  ♦  Donald Trump is viewed as most likely to defeat Hillary Clinton.  ♦ Fox News sub-contracted the data collection to two different partisan polling outfits: Anderson Robbins Research (for Democrats), Shaw & Company Research (for Republicans) from November 1-3, 2015:

Via Fox –  Is the race for the Republican nomination finally shaking out?  Four candidates get double-digit backing — and then there’s a steep drop-off to the rest of the field.

The latest Fox News national poll on the 2016 election finds that Donald Trump has the edge, as GOP primary voters by wide margins identify him as the best candidate on the economy, as well as the one most likely to beat presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton.  The poll also finds Ben Carson remains within striking distance of Trump. (more…)

Here’s the latest results from a Quinnipiac National Poll released today (full pdf below).  Unfortunately, yet again, even with all of their resources, the polled sample is intensely small (only 502 republicans).

At this point these large organizations, NYT/CBS (300), NBC/WSJ (400), and now Q-PAC (500), using small samples to present a national narrative – cannot reasonably be considered coincidental.  These quantifying decisions deliberate; they are also sketchy and bear the familiar signatures of media ‘gaslighting’:

(Via Q-PAC) Trump gets 24 percent of Republican votes, with Carson at 23 percent, Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida at 14 percent, Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas at 13 percent, and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush at 4 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. No other candidate tops 3 percent, with 9 percent undecided, and 63 percent who might change their mind. (more…)