The latest polling (full pdf below) released today positions candidate Donald Trump for a full delegate sweep of all congressional districts:

“It’s not just the statewide results that offer bad news for Cruz. Even outside of New York City and its suburbs, he’s running way behind Trump and even a tad behind Kasich. That means Trump could sweep nearly all of the state’s delegates.” (link)

There are 95 total delegates at stake.  14 delegates awarded to the state winner, and 81 district delegates (27 districts x 3 delegates each).  Any candidate who gets 50% +1 of the vote in each of the congressional districts wins all three of the district’s delegates.  In addition, there is a minimum threshold of 20% for any 2nd place candidate to gain one delegate (if winner below 50%).
Candidate Donald Trump is currently positioned to win all 95 of the state delegates in New York.  In addition, candidate Trump is leading in every demo.
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Those of us who have thoroughly researched candidate Ted Cruz (took office in January ’13 and announced his presidential bid in March ’15) have an inherent belief the key issue which will eliminate Ted Cruz, is Ted Cruz himself.
The reasoning is simple: He’s a fraud.
Throughout his life, and in ever circumstance of consequence, the more people get to know Cruz the less they like him.  This is a fundamental truth amid personalities of low character.   Candidate Cruz, a man of very few friends, has a life-reputation -not just in politics- as a self-serving manipulator, liar and schemer.
The more attention is placed on him by the media and political followers the less favorable his position is within any circle of association.  Paul Manafort understands this basic truism; he also knows how to allow Cruz’s phony persona to display itself organically:

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In the latest poll from the Keystone state (full pdf below), Donald Trump holds a commanding lead -amid every single demographic- across all Pennsylvania voters.  If the peoples voice in Pennsylvania is represented by their delegates candidate Donald Trump is very well positioned.

Based on the polling cross-tabs, the voters in Pennsylvania appear to have a solid grasp on the false-presentations of Senator Ted Cruz, as he is widely rejected by similar percentages of Men, Women, Young voters and voters across the entire spectrum.
This becomes more evident when you dig beneath the top-line results and look at the cross-tab demographics of the electorate polled. (more…)

Candidate Donald Trump is holding a rally in Rochester New York today at 3:00pm EDT.  The venue is JetSmart Aviation.
Live Stream Link – Alternate Live Stream #1 – Alternate Live Stream #2

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In 2015 the National Republican party (RNC) demanded a loyalty pledge from candidate Donald Trump.  Yesterday, the Republican Party of Colorado worked aggressively to ensure that Donald Trump would not be allowed as the party candidate.
Then the Colorado GOP sent the following message:

Here’s are examples of what took place (more…)

In an effort to keep the Daily Open Thread a little more open topic we are going to start a new daily thread for “2016 Presidential Politics”. Please use this thread to post anything relating to the Presidential Race and/or any of the candidates therein.

This thread will refresh daily and appear above the Open Discussion Thread.

Our Father, who art in heaven, hallowed be thy Name. Thy kingdom come. THY WILL BE DONE, on earth as it is in heaven. Give us this day our daily bread. And forgive us our trespasses, as we forgive those who trespass against us. And lead us not into temptation, but DELIVER US FROM EVIL.
For Thine is the kingdom and the power and the glory, forever and ever. Amen †

Candidate Donald Trump interviewed by Judge Jeanine Pirro on Fox News tonight:

Opening Statement below:
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First, let’s be brutally honest –  This latest manipulation by Ryan is nothing but pure Machiavellian political maneuvering by the professional republican party in an effort to keep the unwashed masses from recognizing intentional usurpation.
This is professional political ‘gaslighting‘ folks, and it is beyond infuriating:

Filthy, lying CRAPWEASEL…
Remember: (more…)

Sometimes when you find yourself in a disconcerting and unfamiliar place, it can be beneficial to stop, look back and understand just how we ended up in this terrain.  The professional DC consultant class are benefiting from the current climate of chaos, and they certainly don’t want anyone to review the consequential and intentional steps it took to get here.
When the Tea Party rose up in opposition to President Obama’s indulgent spending programs in 2009 many were under the mistaken assumption the opposing party, the republicans, were against the progressive agenda based on principle.

However, there were a few voices on our side saying be wary of the UniParty nature of DC, the republican party is not our friend.  Money always fuels their motives; so long as there are millions available to the ‘loyal opposition’, the republican political intentions should not be regarded as altruistic.
At the time those concerns were dispatched by a louder voices demanding strategic unity and instructions to work within the DC-based GOPe system.  However, ultimately what benefit lies within unity if the end result is just a destructive?   The awakened electorate was just as much a risk to the republican side of the UniParty as it was the Democrat side.
It was from this basic framework of acceptance the Conservative Tree House was born. A “last refuge” where common sense approaches still mattered.
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