It is worthwhile looking at the breakout of “Independent Voters” within the latest Fox News National Poll.  – DATA HERE –

Independent voters (the largest growing segment of the registered electorate), and Monster Voters (newly registered previous non-voters), will absolutely determine the next President:

Click to Enlarge

The latest national poll from Fox News (full pdf below) outlines a shift in support throughout the electorate.   Donald Trump now beating Hillary Clinton:

The Fox News Poll is conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The poll was conducted by telephone with live interviewers May 14-17, 2016, among a random national sample of 1,021 registered voters (RV).  
Results based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points. (more…)

We anticipate more than one thread will be needed for tonight’s election night results. It will be a late night for Oregon results (around 11:00pm)

Oregon and Kentucky (Dem Only) Vote Today

√ Hillary Wins Kentucky (Barely – very close)

√ Bernie Sanders Wins Oregon (53%).

√ Donald Trump wins Oregon (68%)

♦ On the Democrat side Kentucky is a must win for Hillary Clinton, she doesn’t stand a chance in Oregon. Sanders would continue his forward momentum with a victory tonight in Kentucky and Oregon. The stakes are high.
UPDATE 10:30pm:  Kentucky is super close.  However, Hillary Clinton sycophant Alison Lundergun Grimes (KY Secretary of State) actually went on live TV (via CNN) with 99% of the vote in [Clinton 46.7% to Sanders 46.3%] and declared Hillary Clinton the winner:
♦ The media is doing everything they can to take down Team Bernie tonight, but Bernie had a strong victory in Oregon.
♦ On the Republican side Donald Trump easily won Oregon.
(more…)

Judicial Watch has been doing yeoman’s work to get to the bottom of the entire scheme to hide Clinton communication from FOIA inquiry.  After two years of frustrating legal battles and lies from within the State Department, a federal judge has granted JW permission to depose Clinton’s staff:

(Washington, DC) – Judicial Watch announced today that it has scheduled the depositions of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s top aides Cheryl Mills and Huma Abedin, as well as top State Department official Patrick Kennedy, and former State IT employee Bryan Pagliano regarding the creation and operation of Clinton’s non-government email system.  The first witness, Lewis A. Lukens, will be deposed on Wednesday, May 18.
U.S. District Court Judge Emmet G. Sullivan granted “discovery” to Judicial Watch into former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s email system.
The court noted that “based on information learned during discovery, the deposition of Mrs. Clinton may be necessary.”  The discovery arises in a Judicial Watch Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) lawsuit that seeks records about the controversial employment status of Huma Abedin, former Deputy Chief of Staff to Clinton.  (more…)

We anticipate more than one thread will be needed for tonight’s election night results.  It will be a late night for Oregon results, Kentucky results begin around 7:00pm.

Oregon and Kentucky (Dem Only) Vote Today

♦ On the Democrat side Kentucky is a must win for Hillary Clinton, she doesn’t stand a chance in Oregon.  Sanders would continue his forward momentum with a victory tonight in Kentucky and Oregon.  The stakes are high.
♦ On the Republican side Donald Trump awaits the Oregon results.
Polls close in Kentucky at 7:00pm Eastern (6:00pm CDT) – Polls close in Oregon at 11:00pm Eastern (8:00pm PDT)

• CNN Election HQ – Results Available HERE
• Politico Election HQ – Results available HERE
• New York Times Election HQ – Results Available HERE
• The Green Papers – Election Results and Delegate Tracking HERE

Folks, Donald Trump is CRUSHING Hillary Clinton Nationally

A National NBC/Survey Monkey Poll (pollster Mark Murray) was released today showing Hillary Clinton barely ahead of Donald Trump 48%/45%.
However, what’s more stunning, actually, gobsmackingly and transparently stunning, is how heavily skewed the poll data was constructed in order to show Hillary Clinton with a three point lead.  The poll has a necessary D+7.2% favorability weight:

Beyond the necessary D +7 poll skew, in order to present a poll that retains Hillary Clinton in the lead NBC Pollster Mark Murray needed to exclude 4,725 poll respondents from a total sample size of 12,507 registered voters.
This level of statistical smoothing is huge folks.   You can find the full poll data including the methodology HERE.  However, even with that said there’s even more evidence of Hillary Clinton losing. (more…)

Good grief.  Hillary Clinton Inc. is desperately trying to avoid the visible reality of Bernie Sanders representing the larger voice within the Democrat Party.

The Clinton machine (MSM) is working overtime pitching a wounded indian routine to their allies in the media.   The professional party apparatus is now blaming Bernie Sanders supporters for the Nevada Convention chaos the Clinton led democrat party created.

The customary process of DNC party officials claiming victim status and blaming the Bernie peeps for the abuse is ridiculous in the extreme.  After all, it was Bernie Sanders supporters who were intentionally shut down in Nevada.
Now the party leadership is demanding Bernie Sanders rebuke his own constituency.  Democratic National Committee Chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz released a statement calling for universal condemnation of the Sanders supporters’ “troubling” attacks.
Here’s an example of how the Clinton Machine (New York Times) is pitching the latest strategy to destroy Bernie’s insurgent campaign: (more…)

Anderson Cooper said last week CNN had never corroborated, nor reported on, an earlier story about Hillary Clinton.  Watch. The video speaks for itself:

One America News Network and Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 1,574 registered voters across the United States. The poll was conducted on May 10th and has a margin of error of ± 2.5% at the 95% confidence level. (Link to More Data)
This OAN poll is the stuff of Team Hillary Clinton nightmares, for a couple of reasons.

1. The poll is well oversampled toward Democrats: 40% Democrat, 33% Republican, 27% Independent.  Yet, Hillary barely squeaks out ahead.
2. The Independents in the poll heavily skew toward Donald Trump 58%.  This is the battleground space/electorate for almost all swing state polling.
3. Donald Trump wins Hispanic voters.
4. The polling base, “registered voters” does NOT include the Monster Vote.

Here’s the Hispanic Voter breakout:

(more…)

Sometimes you might find yourself having an imaginary conversation with the insufferable moonbat pundits on TV:

• Pundit: Candidate Donald Trump has a woman problem…
SD: But he’s winning large majorities of women voters in the primary and polling.
• Pundit: That’s only Republican women…
SD: Well, actually Republican and Independent women, but that’s women.
• Pundit: But he needs to win women in the General Election…
SD: He’s winning women so far.
• Pundit: But that’s only republican women.
SD: Republican and Independent women are general election voters...
• Pundit: But that’s only republican and independent women.
SD: So, you’re saying he needs to win non-Republican women, Democrat women?
• Pundit: Yes, exactly.
SD: Are you saying Democrat women are going to vote for a Republican?
• Pundit: No, heavens no. Of course they’re not.
SD: So why should he change message to appeal to a constituency with no intention of voting for him?
• Pundit: Well, um… because.
SD: Thanks. Carry on.

One of the best Trump attributes in the current political season is his ability to campaign on common sense. Unfortunately for the media enterprise, this makes much of their influential punditry seem silly. It’s not a matter of Donald Trump defying the intellectual logic of the professional political class; it’s more a matter of just plain common sense.
(more…)