Pennsylvania is a rather odd primary system.  There are 71 total delegates available, however only 17 of those are bound to the winner of the overall state primary vote.  The remaining 54 delegates are voted for on the ballot itself, and are considered ‘unbound’ delegates able to vote for their preferred candidate.
18 congressional districts x 3 delegates per district = 54 delegates.

(Poll Data Link)

That said, many of the unbound delegates have committed to either vote for the winner of their congressional district, or stated they will vote for the state winner.  All of the delegates had to submit their name for candidacy prior to February 16th, 2016.
According to a spreadsheet put together by Phil Kerpen, there are also 26 (electable) self-proclaimed Cruz delegates and 34 (electable) self-proclaimed Trump delegates.
There are 27 delegates who are not committed to any specific candidate, 59 who expressed their commitment to the district winner, and 5 who say they’ll support the state winner. (more…)

In an effort to keep the Daily Open Thread a little more open topic we are going to start a new daily thread for “2016 Presidential Politics”. Please use this thread to post anything relating to the Presidential Race and/or any of the candidates therein.

This thread will refresh daily and appear above the Open Discussion Thread.

Our Father, who art in heaven, hallowed be thy Name. Thy kingdom come. THY WILL BE DONE, on earth as it is in heaven. Give us this day our daily bread. And forgive us our trespasses, as we forgive those who trespass against us. And lead us not into temptation, but DELIVER US FROM EVIL.
For Thine is the kingdom and the power and the glory, forever and ever. Amen †

A very interesting and exceptionally in depth poll from Sextant Strategies (two pdf’s below) of California voters shows candidate Donald Trump is in a commanding position within the state.
Interestingly, the poll highlights two overall categories voter: 1. Registered Republicans who have voted frequently in all recent elections; and 2. New voters who are registering in astonishing numbers in order to vote in this year’s primary.
Donald Trump is leading with traditional republican voters (41%), and is crushing the field with those holding new registration (53%).  The internals and crosstabs of the poll are a very interesting read.  Here’s the topline result:

Candidate Donald Trump is winning with all demographics (men, women, age, race, income level, education etc.) within the cross tabs of the poll.
However, Trump’s lead expands significantly when you review the “new voters” who are registering by the thousands.
(more…)

Candidate Donald Trump is holding a rally in Harrisburg, PA at the Pennsylvania Farm Show Complex & Expo Center. The event is scheduled to begin at 7:00pm EDT:
Live Stream Link – Alternate Live Stream #1 – Alternate Live Stream #2

(more…)

Indiana has some of the most ardent laws forbidding unsolicited voter contact which eliminates most polling organizations from conducting organized polling.  As a direct result there have been almost no polls conducted in the state, leaving a great deal of speculation about the state of the race.

Additionally, there’s a transparency of motive within the political media to jump over the April 26th primary states and focus attention on Indiana (May 3rd) to frame a narrative of larger political interest.
Indiana has clearly become the best hope for candidate Ted Cruz sell his position that he can stop Donald Trump from achieving the 1,237 delegates needed for an outright nomination victory.   Ergo Politico delivers an article showing some “private polling” information that helps maintain interest in the storyline: (more…)

Project Veritas, via James O’Keefe, drove through Brooklyn New York investigating voter irregularities during the Tuesday primary.

In this video, undercover videographers expose voter fraud and corruption on New York’s primary day. In the video, an election official most likely commits a felony by advising a journalist on how to vote outside of her district. The video also shows how chaotic polling locations across New York were on election day.

June 7, 1958 – April 21, 2016

Pat Buchanan was interviewed by Sean Hannity last night and raises some good fundamental points regarding the ridiculous positions espoused by professional punditry and political elites.  Lots of plain common sense:

Buchanan points out:
1. Trump is holding rallies of 20,000 – 30,000+ IN A PRIMARY. This is a historic point that most seemingly overlook.  No-one ever before has gathered such crowd sizes in “primary races“.  Supportive crowds the size of Trump (and yes, Sanders) have only before been witnessed in “general elections”, and only one candidate on the republican side is capable of generating this much enthusiasm.
2. The talking point of a “contested convention” when the clear frontrunner is millions of votes ahead of the field is ridiculous. Prior 19th century “contested”, “open”  or “brokered” conventions never involved the sheer scope of the 2016 primary vote lead (currently 2.4 million ahead with well over 8 million votes).
3. This is not forty years ago. With instantaneous communication, instantaneous individual video recordings, and instantaneous video transmission of convention events to the phones, computers and TV screens of the larger U.S. electorate, the visible damage to the party apparatus attempting to defy the will of the voter will be irreparable if the RNC attempts or allows it.
(more…)

In an effort to keep the Daily Open Thread a little more open topic we are going to start a new daily thread for “2016 Presidential Politics”. Please use this thread to post anything relating to the Presidential Race and/or any of the candidates therein.

This thread will refresh daily and appear above the Open Discussion Thread.