There may indeed be a feeling of disappointment amid many political followers who support Donald Trump today. A sense of disappointment because he did not win the Iowa caucuses.

However, long-time readers here will probably not hold as much angst at the result; and just about all of us are overly familiar with the sense of futility against it all.

These 2016 events are predictable, very predictable.  They are so predictable we outlined exactly how they would take place back in 2013, more than two years ago.

Before reading further – GO HERE AND SEE – These events are not organic, they are born from a very specific origin.  We stated in November of 2013 that Senator Marco Rubio would be propped up by the political machine in the 2016 Presidential race, for a very specific purpose.

There are trillions of dollars at stake.  The characters who indulge themselves within the scheme and graft will do anything to retain their place, power and influence.  None of this is happenstance. (more…)

We will keep this post at the top of the page throughout the evening and provide live updates as they come in.

At 11:30pm with 95% of Precincts reporting Candidate Ted Cruz appears to have won Iowa.  CNN is calling the race for Ted Cruz.

Additionally, Marco Rubio has done exceptionally well in the populous areas of Davenport, Cedar Rapids, Iowa City and Des Moines.  In the major metropolitan areas Marco Rubio has placed first which has pushed, Cruz to second and Donald Trump third.

A significant percentage of the high voter turnout was to the benefit of Marco Rubio.  Donald Trump won some of the more conservative counties, but in the areas where the GOPe, or establishment Republican party, hold strength – Marco Rubio was able to pull enough votes from Trump to provide Cruz a victory and make the race closer.

The GOPe executed a strong game in Iowa.

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A new poll From Franklin Pierce (full pdf below) on behalf of the Boston Herald shows Donald Trump gaining an additional 5 points in the past week.  Trump now dominates the New Hampshire polling with 38%, Ted Cruz with 13% and Bush/Rubio with 10% each.

In addition, almost 60% of New Hampshire voters now see Donald Trump as inevitable Republican Presidential Nominee:

BOSTON HERALD – […] Trump has a massive 25-point advantage over his nearest rival Cruz while Sanders has grown his lead over Clinton to a 57-37 percent margin , according to the poll of likely Granite State primary voters conducted Jan. 26-30.

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The final poll from Iowa, traditionally called the “first-in-the-nation-poll”, by the Des Moines Register and Bloomberg has been released (full pdf below).  Here’s the GOP result with only two days left before caucus night:

The critical results are favorable to Donald Trump, now he needs to get out the voters !

(Via Bloomberg)  Donald Trump has overtaken Ted Cruz in the final days before Iowa’s caucuses, with the fate of the race closely tied to the size of Monday evening’s turnout, especially among evangelical voters and those attending for the first time, a Bloomberg Politics/Des Moines Register Iowa Poll shows. (more…)

The relationship between the Trump campaign and the Des Moines Register (DMR) is well documented.  Throughout the GOP primary the DMR has been antagonistic to the Trump Campaign, and DMR reporters have even been identified data-mining Trump donors and sending out messages ridiculing them.

The DMR editorial board has endorsed Marco Rubio and Hillary Clinton and positioned their advocacy in opposition to all other candidates.  So it might not come as a surprise to find out the Des Moines Register had a sponsored poll presented on their website for visitors that removes the option to vote for Donald Trump.  See Screenshot:

(click image to enlarge)

Today the Des Moines Register is set to release a final Iowa poll, the “first-in-the-nation” poll which they sponsor through Selzer & Co. Inc., a firm who has conducted The Des Moines Register’s Iowa Poll since 1997. (more…)

An independent poll from Michigan – SEE HERE – conducted by Mitchell Research shows candidate Donald J Trump with a commanding lead more than three fold greater than nearest rival, Ted Cruz.

The size of Donald Trump’s lead is in direct alignment with the massive rally attendance noted in his last visit to the state:

(Via Fox2) An exclusive Mitchell FOX 2 Detroit Poll of Michigan finds that Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton hold large leads over their nearest GOP and Democratic opponents, respectively. (more…)

Things That Make Other Things Make Sense…

Last week radio talk show host Mark Levin had to reluctantly admit he has a ‘soon-to-be’ step-son working for Senator Ted Cruz. – HERE –  Now, this week comes an even more startling revelation:

Bill Sammon is a Fox News Vice President and in charge of the Fox News debates and questioning.  His daughter, Brooke Sammon, is Marco Rubio’s Press Secretary.

So how influential is Bill Sammon in the debate formatting?  From a Media Buzz interview with Chris Stirewalt about the debate construction: (more…)

Good sample size, good methodology, strong poll.  The latest poll from PPP (full pdf below) provides evidence of a commonly expressed sentiment: ‘The more Iowans see/hear of Senator Ted Cruz, the less they like him’, which makes Trump’s decision to put the Cruz smarm center of an Iowa stage even more brilliant.

The interesting internals in this poll reflect a possibility (a difficult to measure – but solid possibility) that Marco Rubio could actually upend Cruz from second place.

(Via PPP) – PPP’s new Iowa poll, conducted in partnership with Progress Iowa, continues to find Donald Trump leading in the state. He’s at 31% to 23% for Ted Cruz, 14% for Marco Rubio, 9% for Ben Carson, 4% each for Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, and Rand Paul, 3% for Carly Fiorina, 2% each for Chris Christie and John Kasich, and 1% each for Jim Gilmore and Rick Santorum.

Since we last polled Iowa two and a half weeks ago Trump and Cruz are the only candidates to see their support move by more than a couple points- Trump’s seen a 3 point gain in his support from 28% to 31%, while Cruz has seen a corresponding 3 point decline in his support from 26% to 23%. (more…)

UPDATE:  Due to the severity of bias within the Fox agenda, candidate Donald Trump has stated his attendance is still undetermined:

This was the earlier snarky statement by Fox which led to Donald Trump reconsidering:

FOX NEWS:  “We learned from a secret back channel that the Ayatollah and Putin both intend to treat Donald Trump unfairly when they meet with him if he becomes president,” Fox News said in the statement, adding this gem: “A nefarious source tells us that Trump has his own secret plan to replace the Cabinet with his Twitter followers to see if he should even go to those meetings.”

Fox News has announced the candidate debate lineup and again there are two tiers.  Eight candidates in the 9:00pm “Top Tier” debate, and four candidates in the 7:00pm “Lower Tier” (kiddie table) debate:

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For those who were not reading in October when we shared: “Candidate Marco Rubio Gains an Additional Master“, you might want to refresh; because much of what was covered in that Halloween 2015 review is now coming to pass.

Vetting a candidate is a process of deep research into the history, activity, associations, affiliations and prior background of a political candidate.  Marco Rubio is the least publicly vetted candidate in the race, and there’s a very good reason for that.

Whenever the media are not deep into a GOP candidate’s background, it’s generally because the information therein holds more value for their ideological use at a later date.

The days of reporters actually doing the legwork of research are in the rear view mirror.  Modern political vetting is done by private entities, private investigative teams, generally outside the official campaign administration of opponents.  That type of research is called opposition research, or “Oppo-research”.    (more…)