All current key state polling, including Florida, confirm the viability of the GOPe Road Map “splitter strategy” as it was designed in 2014. Many people are now aware of the splitter strategy itself, so let’s take a look at the “rule changes” which work hand-in-hand with the GOPe road map itself.
In 2014 the RNC/GOPe apparatus made modifications to the 2016 presidential primary specifically because the chosen candidate, Jeb Bush, would need more structural support in 2015/2016 than Mitt Romney 2012.
One of the lesser known changes was campaign finance change which the RNC and DNC essentially hid in the December 2014 CRomnibus bill (continuing resolution government funding). The changes allow the party apparatus to collect SEVEN TIMES more money from individual party donors – SEE CHART HERE.
On the campaign side – whereas Romney’s 2012 Road Map garnered 25-30% electoral support, internal polling (2014) showed Jeb Bush steady with around 15-20% support. As a consequence of Jeb’s weakness the RNC rules needed to compensate.
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The students at Urbandale High School (IA) were given a surprise notification today in celebration of their homecoming week.
A presidential candidate is coming to see them. Watch the reaction:
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The Morning Consult survey polled 504 registered voters who said they watched the Republican primary debate and that they plan to participate in their state’s Republican presidential nominating contest. Of those voters, 69 percent identified themselves as Republicans, and 28 percent called themselves independents. The poll carried a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percent (link):
The four consecutive days of attacks on Donald Trump, leading up to the CNN debate, appear to have hurt Rand Paul, Scott Walker significantly; both appear to be in trouble. Also, worth noting – candidates Pataki, Graham and Jindal see no benefit from their attack efforts. Fiorina, Rubio, and Christie gained supporters. Carson, Bush and Kasich stayed essentially the same. (more…)
Anyone who doesn’t think that Karl Rove is intertwined with the current “Trump-Muslim-Obama-Birther” controversy exploding amid the headlines today doesn’t know Rove.
Remember 2010 and Delaware Senate race Christine O’Donnell and the “witch/wiccan” religion controversy? Yeah, Rove was Mike Castle’s campaign guy. After Castle lost, Rove torpedoed O’Donnell -via media- on behalf of the GOPe.
Remember 2014 Matt Bevin Kentucky Senate race against Mitch McConnell and the “Chicken fight” speech. Yup, Rovian again. Here’s Rove today feeding the narrative:
The “Twofer” – The group that should really be watching Rove work his current magic are the Ted Cruz supporters. (more…)
Donald Trump holds a Town Hall last night including a lengthy Q&A session. The first question coming in at 09:45 of the video below is from a guy claiming that President Obama is Muslim – the media immediately jumped on it and are criticizing Trump for not pushing back against the question:
Anticipate the MSM news cycle to continue making a big deal of this today.
…. the Rovian onslaught continues.
OAN/GRAVIS have published an exclusive poll based entirely on the results from last night’s CNN debate (full pdf below). The poll shows the majority of those questioned viewed Carly Fiorina won the debate and reflects a predictable surge:
According to this result, both Fiorina and Rubio gained status and favorable opinion amid those Republicans polled. (more…)
Disclaimer: Your opinion on the debate performances are far more valid than mine. My perspective is skewed because I’m looking through a filter of how Wall Street RNC/GOPe and DNC interests will view and perceive the debate performances.
Baseline – Going into the debate all the candidates, other than Trump, had something to gain and little to lose. Donald Trump had everything to lose and little to gain. With that in mind: (more…)
“Let’s Get Ready To Rumble” !!
The Second GOP Debate “Top Tier” Begins at 8:00pm – All pundits expect the lower supported field to pile-on primary frontrunner Donald Trump.
The future of Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden hang in the balance. If Trump does well, Wall Street will demand Biden enter the race within a week. The GOPe machine wants a Hillary Clinton VS Jeb Bush 2016 General Election – Live Stream HERE:
Now that Donald Trump has thrown a monkey wrench into the GOPe Splitter Strategy, we are able to look at their modified objectives. Keeping in mind the overall Road Map, and the commitment of all the interested parties therein, we can now see the goal:
…If you remove Donald Trump from the current equation – Ben Carson becomes Herman Cain 2012, Ted Cruz becomes Newt Gingrich and Jeb Bush slips right back into the role of Mitt Romney, exactly as planned..
….Toward that end an understanding of a few things are needed:
- An understanding of the National and State RNC rule changes
- An understanding of how the primary delegate distributions fit within the plan.
- An understanding of how the architects always planned to eliminate Cruz
All current key state polling, including the releases yesterday from Florida, showcase and confirm the viability of the GOPe Road Map “splitter strategy” as it was designed in 2014.
So lets begin first with the rule changes.
In 2014 the RNC/GOPe apparatus made modifications to the 2016 presidential primary specifically because the chosen candidate, Jeb Bush, would need more structural support in 2015/2016 than Mitt Romney 2012.
Whereas Romney’s Road Map garnered 25-30% electoral support, internal polling (2014) showed Jeb around 15-20% support. As a consequence of Jeb’s weakness the RNC rules needed to compensate. (more…)
This latest Florida poll (full pdf below) essentially destroys the talking point of Ana Navarro a zealous Bush advocate and ubiquitous TV pundit:
[…] “Nobody that’s voting for Trump is voting for Jeb or voting for Marco. I don’t think they eat from each other’s votes,” Navarro said. “I do think Jeb and Marco eat from each other’s votes.” (link)
No Ana, you’re wrong. Without Trump the GOPe splitter strategy works perfectly – with Rubio leading Jeb 51%-31%. It’s Donald Trump who is destroying all those best laid plans:
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