We are in an era when many people are following politics a little more closely than usual, that’s a good thing.  However, for many a paradigm shift is needed:

Modern GOPe presidential politics are not dependent on winning your vote, we are in an era when presidential politics is focused on “winning the office” – there is a big difference.  The former is irrelevant when the latter is achieved.

Current political science classes are focused on teaching political theorem through the prism of history, but historical references are less accurate than ever before.  The new age of the Atwater/Rove approach is based on using the foundation of ‘Citizens United’ to protect the professional political class.

When you understand the goal of the professional candidate is to achieve the office, and not to necessarily win your vote, we can find increased clarity on campaign behavior.

A vote for a given candidate is valuable.   However, when you are inside the professional political class, a non-vote is just as valuable.  (more…)

Presidential Candidate Donald Trump held a campaign rally in Hilton Head, SC at The Westin Hilton Head Island Resort & Spa earlier today at 11:00am.

Mr. Trump spoke for just over an hour to thousands of raucous supporters:

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Candidate Donald Trump holds a commanding lead in almost every poll.  While the media broadcast public polls, the internal polling actually drives the campaign activity.  With that in mind the public polls provide ‘retrospective’ to either support, or undercut, the activity of the campaign itself.

The latest report from YouGov is one of many which highlights why Team Trump is slowly shifting focus toward a more general election race.  Another good summary of indicators is Available HERE:

You might have also noted candidate Donald Trump referencing today’s Reuters polling trend in earlier interviews.  Apparently that’s because the trend shows the number two and number three candidates have peaked, and now are moving back into low double digits.

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On the way to Iowa Candidate Donald Trump held a press conference aboard his private Boeing 747 airplane as he transported members of the following press corps.

The “optics” are brilliant as candidate Trump projects the image of President Trump, Air Force One, and the traveling press corps.  Brilliant !  Big Smarts…. Big Smarts.

(Unfortunately audio is little sketchy, turn your sound way up)

Donald J. Trump Rally in Council Bluffs Iowa at Mid-America Center. Event begins 7:30 PM CST – LiveStream Link #1 and Alternate LiveStream Link #2  An earlier media report indicated the venue is smaller capacity (1,000 – 2,000 max)  than a customary Trump Rally.

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In an opportunity for a compare and contrast, both Donald Trump and Jeb Bush have events scheduled today.  Trump in Council Bluffs Iowa, Jeb Bush in Peterborough New Hampshire.

Jeb Bush holding a “Town Hall”, while Donald Trump holds a campaign “rally”.   Both candidates holding events at almost the same time.

However, Jeb Bush cancels his Town Hall due to “inclement weather”.  Donald Trump keeps campaigning.  HatTip to KBR for this picture of what greets Bush supporters tonight: (more…)

It seems like such a long time ago, in the spring of 2014, when we first identified the fingerprints of the GOPe road map which eventually led to the GOPe “Splitter Strategy“.  However, one variable remains as critical today as it was almost two years ago, FLORIDA.

Back in 2014 the most important tripwire we set, was to watch what the GOPe in Florida did with their delegates.  Our hunch was the national RNC power-structure would coordinate with the state-level republican party and present a mid-March “winner-take-all” delegate distribution to benefit the low-polling, low-turnout, low-vote goal of Jeb Bush.

Florida would thereby be the Fulcrum for the Jeb Bush road-map.  If Team Jeb could fracture the non-Jeb vote enough, the approximately 20% pro-Jeb vote would be all that was needed to capture the full 99 delegates.   The road map then picks up speed and it’s all downhill to the convention for Jeb’s anointment. (more…)

A poll conducted by Clout Research for World Net Daily (full pdf below) shows candidate Donald Trump with a commanding lead amid all major demographics.  The poll also contains a small sample of Democrats (19), Independents (61), as well as Republican (365) voters.

It should be noted that generally speaking, when considering content coverage, WND has a favorable lean toward Senator Ted Cruz.  The result below is from the Republican respondents:

A review of the poll internals show Donald Trump leading with all religious affiliations. In addition Trump leads all ideologies except “strongly conservative” (far right) which favor Ted Cruz.  Hence, more statistical affirmation of what most already accept:  Donald Trump, like Ronald Reagan, is a center-right candidate.

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By now almost everyone has acknowledged that Donald Trump has ripped the masks from most of the modern professional punditry who espoused to be conservatives yet showed their hidden ideological colors as elite globalists.

Most notably this was evidenced in June as millions of Fox News viewers saw FOX’s entire line-up of professional pundits proclaim borders shouldn’t matter; border walls won’t work; illegal alien amnesty was the only viable solution to decades of unenforced immigration law; and, heck, this was only in week #1 of Donald Trump’s campaign.

Since June ’15, on almost every issue those same pundits have now openly aligned themselves with GOPe agenda items like global trade, tax policy, big government spending, and advocacy to including advancement of Speaker Paul ‘Omnibus’ Ryan.

However, a sharp reader, DrudgeAddict, smartly points out these same voices were the exact group who gathered together in an exclusive meeting with President Obama in 2009 to sing his praises after the ’08 election. Including : (more…)

NOTE – Bookmark this post and date for reference in November 2016.

A recent Rasmussen poll (unfortunately, private data) shows Hillary Clinton 37% and Donald Trump 36% in a statistical dead heat. However, if you look at the actual data as presented by Rasmussen you find:

[…] Seventy-five percent (75%) of Democrats back Clinton, up five points from October. Trump draws support from 63% of Republicans, virtually unchanged from the previous survey. Unaffiliated voters prefer Trump 36% to 25%, but 29% of these voters like some other candidate. These findings also are similar to the October survey. (link)

If Trump is tied with Hillary and yet only 63% of identified Republicans support Trump this means a larger portion of Republicans are “non-Trump”, than Democrats who are “non-Hillary”.  Here’s the math as presented which shows how centrist and dominant Donald Trump’s appeal is. (more…)